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August 2006 - Posts

In my post about the Tablighi Jamaat and its apparent ties to the recent British bombers & suspects, I failed to make a clear distinction between tabligh and the organization known as the Tablighi Jamaat. In doing so, I've caught myself in a bit of a trap.

I mentioned that I've known tablighis, ie Muslims who believe proselytization's a part of being a good Muslim (which it isn't as "spreading the good news" is in Christianity), but I didn't clarify - I don't know any tablighis, or "pilgrims," that belong to the Tablighi Jamaat. The distinction's important because, as I've mentioned, proselytizing Islam's a bit queer, if harmless, but the origins of the TJ aren't harmless. The Deobandi sect is basically an offshoot cult of Islam much more in line (not only politically but also doctrinally) with Wahhabi Salafists.

That's a bad thing, fyi. The vocabulary of Islam's foreign to the west and the distinction's not easy, since Salafists/Wahhabis and TJ Deobandi's consider themselves to be Sunnis - the only legitimate Muslims - and tend to shun the titles of "Wahhabi" (ie, followers of Ibn Wahhab - they don't think of themselves as followers of a person's doctrine, but of true Islam) and "Salafi" (see previous parenthetical). Mainstream Sunnis, themselves, have a difficult time separating Wahhabis from other Sunnis, particularly because of the large support that Wahhabis enjoy due to Saudi Arabia's support for them (see: CAIR, MSA, etc.). Further, it's tough for other Muslims (Shia, Sufis) to make the distinction due to the perception of Islamic infighting that this causes when non-Muslims hear or read criticisms of heretical cults.

If it's still not clear, Wahhabis/Salafists/Deobandis are cult and aren't Islam, imo.

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Suicide car bomb outside the Interior Ministry building kills 13 civilians, wounds 33

Yesterday, in Khalis, a town 35 miles north of Baghdad, near Baqubah, armed men opened fire on civilians in a marketplace, killing at least 12 people. Gunmen stormed the house of a local judge, Hamdi al-Ubaidi, shot one of his brothers, and moved to abduct another, police said.

When men from a nearby cafe ran to the aid of the family, gunmen opened fire, killing 12 of the would-be rescuers and injuring 25, police Brigadier Safa al-Mandalawi said.

The mass killing occurred about 11 hours after a bomb planted in a marketplace at Khalis exploded at the height of morning shopping. Nine people were killed, and 15 were injured, police Lieutenant Ali Khayam said.

Elsewhere in Iraq, 23 people were also killed in violent episodes occurring in Baghdad (7 Iraqi civilians were killed last night in a street battle between American forces and insurgents), Bakuba and Basra (a bomb mounted on a motorcycle killed 7 people). 10 people were killed in Kirkuk after two car bombs exploded killed outside the house of a police colonel and outside a meeting hall of Sufis

In one roadside bombing north of Baghdad, four US soldiers were killed, the US military said. Another soldier was killed in a roadside bomb in western Baghdad and the sixth was shot to death in the eastern part of the capital.

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13 Iraqis, civilians, soldiers, police killed in bombings and shootings.
4 in Ramadi, Iraq (2 via snipers, 1 in Gomhorria district, 1 Qattan district) - US N. Ramadi base attacked by RPGs
2 car bombs in separate areas of Baghdad: 4 civilians, wounded 9 incl. 2 policemen (concealed in trash); bomb in minivan killed 3 policemen, Baqouba, NE of Baghdad
3 Iraqi soldiers, roadside bomb, Outskirts of Baghdad
3 people dead, shootings, Baghdad, Mosul

1 US soldier, patrol attacked by small arms at around 12:15 pm (0815 GMT) Thursday (08/24)
1 US soldier, vehicle hit by IED, S. Baghdad (Release No. 20060824-02)
1 US soldier, during a raid in S. Baghdad (2 foreign terrorists killed during the raid)

Abdul Rahman Ali Abdul Rahman, also known as Abu Hajir, believed to be the local leader of the Mujahedeen Army (claimed responsibility for many attacks, incl. April 2005 downing of a helicopter carrying 11 civilians, including 6 Americans), arrested Mosul

Kut, 100 miles southeast of the capital, police on Thursday found 4 handcuffed bodies dumped separately in the streets. All had been shot.
Police in Mosul said they found the bodies of a five-member family - 2 women, 1 man and 2 young men - in a house in the east of the city. (Forbes/AP)

Violence across Iraq kills more than a dozen people despite word of progress, Canadian Press/AP

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So, the scaremongering, pro-Zionist anti-Iranian (and in my opinion, anti-American) commentators who thought that Ahmedinejad was going to declare war or rain fire from the heavens on Israel on this day of Miraj due to either their inability to parse "insane dictator"-speak(though, they can parse through Bush well enough) are being proven wrong with the Iranian response to the EU-lead incentives plan.

A one page faxed statement saying that the Iranians are willing to talk more is about as positive a response we're going to get amid all the negative fearmongering speculation the press and our "advisors" do for us. The key point for both the EU/US/UN and for Iran is the enrichment of uranium. People don't trust Iran to not weaponize, regardless of the NNPT and Atoms for Peace, and Iran can't do enough to make anyone trust that they don't want to weaponize. Also, it's instructive that Ali Larijani, Supreme Security Council head and Iran's top nuclear negotiator - not Ahmedinejad - is the one on point for this.

Honestly, it's a good thing. Keeping the EU & the UN true to their rhetoric is important - Iran's past IAEA cooperation should be a basis of trust for them. Also, Iran retaining some semblance of national pride is very important for lifting them up towards responsible diplomatic partners. It'll take a while and some concessions on each side, but I think that the US & Iran can work it out. I'm not sure if Ahmedinejad's the one to do it, nor am I sure that Rice et al. want to have Ahmedinejad's legacy be that of reconciliation with the US. I surely wouldn't want it to be.

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It happened again, this time, closer - in my cube. This morning, a coworker I'll call "Eric" and I were watching the groundskeeper on his riding mower callously cut down mushrooms as he executed orderly, patterned grooming manoevers. "Eric" likes mushrooms so there was some discussion of whether a rescue op should be mounted or a protest flash mobbed.

Neither happened and, after an appropriate amount of hobnobbery regarding the oppression of mycelium, we went to our workspaces and began what passes for "work" around here.

There's another coworker who starts his workday at noon and when he arrives, he provides an opportunity for everyone to rehash their morning conversations about the night before or the weekend, on Mondays. He'll be called "Frank." I was in the middle of something, so "Frank" walks over to "Eric"'s cube and begins the process of re-recounterment. (That's French and is pronounced with the same expression that one has on their face while saying "second breakfast.")

"Eric" starts off with: "Saddam and I were watching the mushrooms..." and they both get quiet immediately, realizing the error. Hearing the silence, I back process the what's-just-been-said buffer (thanks, evolution!) and decide that it's time for lunch.

I will say this, though, in their defense: The longer I've been here in Colorado the more I'm treated like an insane dictator who appears to think that everything he says is right and denies the truth of reality.

When I was young, my father told me that people's names mattered. In particular, their names mattered to them. It's what they call themselves and that I should strive to get remember and get it right. It's a sign of respect. I'm not sure, but I think he got that from Dale Carnegie's How to Win Friends and Influence People. I'm horrible at remembering names, but I'm great at recognizing when people make mistakes in remembering someone's name, are outright getting it wrong because they don't care, or are making fun, harmlessly. This incident, and the previous example, wasn't malicious, but it's another example of how powerful a name and it's association really is. The realization I struggle with is that when people associate a thing with a name, the attributes of that thing are sublimated into that name. I wonder if I'm trying harder because of my nature or the passive background of distrust? And so on. Lunch was fun.

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I keep meaning to keep a running total of the dead in Iraq and elsewhere, but it's a morbid and depressing thing to do. Anyhow, here's my start (you can see my past post on this, here: powerlessness)

Last year, on the same day - around Aug 19, 2005 or Rajab 24 Earth: Strategic Petroleum Reserves and the Imam Musa al Kasim Stampede - a stampede caused by rumors of a suicide bomber during the procession of the 7th Shia Imam, Musa al Kazim, killed 700 people. This year, snipers shot dead 20 people and 200 people were injured in the ensuing confusion. Snipers Target Shiite March, LA Times

That there's constant retaliation against the Shia majority by Sunni insurgents continues to show that there're segments of the Sunni population who are not only well armed and prepared, but also committed to inciting sectarian violence. See the overt destruction of the Askariya mosque in February 2006 Pushing for Civil War that caused a step-up in the tempo of Shia on Sunni violence as an example.

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Today we found out that some of the British Muslims who were detained on suspicion of plotting to blow up airliners bound for the US were members of or linked to Tablighi Jamaat, an orthodox Islamic proselytizing movement (the name means "proselytizing group"). Assad Sarwar (26) and Waheed Zaman (22) are part of this movement and share that distinction with at least one of the 7/7 suicide bombers Mohammad Sidique Khan and possibly another, Shehzad Tanweer.

For me, this is sort of a fortuitous event, but for you (at least most of you who don't know much about Islam), it's a new threat from within Islam. The reason it's neat for me is that I'd planned on writing a bit about the link between charity and terrorism and about why Islam is more succeptible to that angle. With Pakistan allowing Lashkar-e-Taiba, the militant wing of the Dawa wal Irshad charity group, help with rebuilding the earthquake damage in Kashmir to both Hamas and Hezbullah's charity wings (look who's rebuilding the Lebanon, now), Americans should be aware that not only do the most virulent Islamic organizations have a political agenda, but they also do significant charity work. Only recently with this administration's restriction on money for AIDS and impoverished countries do we get the opportunity to feel the confusion of how religious mores affect good works.

Anyone can wikipedia either Tablighi Jamaat and LeT (hopefully, people are more aware of LeT and their influence over Pakistan) and get some information about them. TJ, in particular, is a bit of an oddity - Islam is a non-proselytizing religion, regardless of what sort of tripe the Church fostered about a "violent religion of the sword." So having a retroactively conservative organization that's managed to incorporate the heresy of "spreading the good news" starts out at being at odds with itself. Their targets are mainly the Muslim community itself, and not external conversions, and because of this, they're not considered a "cult" or anything more than really passionate by the Muslim community at large. Most Muslims, if they're aware of TJ at all, see the adherants as very pious and serious Muslims with no political agenda. Some people might want to know how I know that TJ's mostly an apolitical, peaceful, if strange, group, considering I'm not a TJ follower: I've known tablighi missionaries that've been involved with them for a very long time. The majority of them are definiately kooky, but harmless, focusing on encouraging Muslims to be better Muslims.

This isn't to say that TJ is a harmless organization. After it's origins around New Delhi, India in 1927 as a Sunni Deobandi sect organized to convert Indian Muslims whom they thought were too "indianified," a section of this loosely organized group moved - like a lot of aggressive retroactive Islamic movements - to Pakistan where they have a pattern of recruiting "believers" not just into proslyetizing missions, but in a lot of cases, towards a radicalized view of Islam. In a derrogatory way, Pakistani and Bangledeshi TJ's a "gateway drug" religion for hard-core politics. There are definitely Indian, Bangledeshi, and Pakistanki TJ groups that remain apolitical and peaceful, but I don't think those are of any interest to the media nor are they relevant to figuring out how to excise a lunatic strain from Islam.

Giving alms to the poor, a tithe, and caring for the poor are central tenets in Islam and, in this way, a lot of money's available to charity organizations. Also, since a lot of the giving is not through traditional banks, it's a great way for organizations who either lose their way or are malicious in the first place to get money under the radar. Islam is a religion of what can be explained as "works" combined with "belief" (for the Christians) - no separation of politics and religion - and those people that want to take advantage of a political agenda in the name of Islam have a bit of a leg up.

So, what's to be done about it? When people ask that question, they usually mean "So, what's Islam going to do about it?" The answer is that most Muslims have a good grasp about what's right and what's wrong with the variety of offshoots in the religion and in society. There're a few lines and when crossed, it's not for "polite company." Really, making sure that Muslims understand their own religion is a big part of all of this. Realizing that there are people who're willing sub/pervert the faith for their own ideas means that we have to be more vigilant about what the religion really means. So, next time some Deobandis or Salafists come knocking at your door or bug you on campus on one of their proselytizing missions, do what most Americans do with cults - be ready to engage them or turn them away.

Recognizing that they're not mainstream Islam and being able to discriminate between the types of these heretical bida cults is also really important for both the fight against lunatics who not only seem to be a major threat to us and our allies but who also prey on the religious for their fodder.

The British have picked up on the TJ connections and are now watching the European headquarters (called markaz) which is located in Dewsbury, England. (53.681206°, -1.628523°) There are even some reports that the British police are starting to keep track of TJ adherents as they go about some of their itinerant travels.

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Jack asked me the other day whether Iraq was in a civil war. I said no, because from what I’ve read, the insurgent groups don't have a coherent idea of a ruling government after they “won.” The Sunni-allied political factions have come around and are participating in the existing government and even Moktada Sadr’s puerile acting up is being poorly integrated into the existing government structure. To me, this continues to place the anti-Iraqi government insurgents outside a “civil” structure and that was my reason for saying that it wasn’t a “civil war.” Additionally, I believe that not only can an American presence be still properly utilized to stabilize the country but that Iraqis want to be our allies.

No matter how much I’ve read or do read about Iraq, I’m not there, so I don’t know. When I read about a debate on Iraqi television between two prominent theologians, a Sunni and a Shia, in Iraq, where there was never a question or disagreement between the two on the very same question about a civil war, I knew I my answer to Jack was wrong and the situation on the ground predominated: Iraq is in the middle of a civil war and it’s because Sunnis are killing Shia and vice versa. That was their answer. It's not (just) a government thing, it's a sectarian thing.

The only question that the audience really had was what to do about the civil war now and what will come out of it?

Considering I have no experience at all with what's going on with Iraq, I can only speculate. I suspect there'll be pound-of-flesh taking until someone decides to stop it. Since the Iraqis call it a civil war, it seems like it must be a fight for the future civil structure of the nation. The Sunni and secular insurgents have always wanted to destabilize a government they see as pro-American or, at the very least, heavily influenced and reliant upon America. Sadr's group and SCIRI would rather have that dependance somewhere else - and they'll take help where they can get it for their objective, and that means Iran.

There's apparently a huge internal refugee crisis in Iraq - people moving around, out of where they used to live in response to death squads -the Mahdi Army, Sadr's goons, and the Mujahideen Shura - an umbrella Sunni insurgent group.

Since we don't have a nuanced view of Iran, Iraq'll start to look too pro-Iran for our liking and I suspect we'll start encouraging the Sunni insurgents, relabeled "resistance" at that point. The place isn't going to be calm for a long time, probably not for 50 years or so. The Iraqis will divide themselves up among sectarian lines. Like the "three states within a state" tail-tween-legs "solution" that Biden tried to appropriate a while back, this de facto split will allow us to sulk away and the residents will have just have to adjust to this new reality - just like all the other Arab states have.

I used to think Biden's advocation of a "three-in-one state" solution for Iraq was and is a defeatist and overly negative - not pragmatic - look at the future of Iraq. Preparing the American public to accept a different outcome than "victory" with regards to the Iraq situation is noble and a proper direction, but I don't think that was Biden's intention. Now, I think advocating a pragmatic view of what's happening isn't so much a self-fulfilling prophecy and abandoning our ideals as just what is. America's never been one to follow through on an imposition of an ideal regardless of rhetoric and, whether Biden understands that his proposition tacitly reinforces that, I think that's how it is. Even the Iraqis themselves seem to be realizing they're going to have to split in order to create a fireline between the factions spurring and retaliating fighting the civil war.

If it is a civil war, what do we do about it? We leave and let them deal with it. We take a cue from the UN - if it's a civil conflict, ignore it until it's genocidal, then be embarrassed and refuse that you could've done anything about it. Preferrably, we can try a limp-wristed solution to seperate the combatants and bury our heads and hope that they'll work it out sooner, rather than later. We can then leave Iraq so that we can deny we had anything to do with it. Granted, we won't do that excatly, but will put a unique American spin on it and wait until we can say that the ungrateful Iraqis can't be shown the path towards democracy. Then we can hate on their neighbors and the region and pump more money into our proxies. The Iraqi civil war means it's their problem now, not ours. Literally. If they think they're in a civil war, all our wishful thinking's not going to change that. Auger in on entrenched partisan positions. We can follow other news stories now, it's official: the Iraq war is over. It's legacy will be with us throughout our lifetimes.

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Israel has found out what we've known, but won't acknowledge, about fighting a stateless enemy - "resolve" in defeating an enemy is incomplete and ultimately detrimental when the engagement's only military. It's not just that our people aren't willing to "win," we don't know what winning looks like, nor can we fathom winning with anything more than physical weaponry. This has been clear since before America awoke on 9/11/2001. We've been in denial because Americans like action and our politicians invested themselves in trashing diplomacy and reviling anything that didn't look like a bullet, gun, and explosions as "hugging." In this race, I hope the Israelis take a clue from us, even though we haven't been the paragons of a syncretic guns & butter solution, instead of the embarassment of policy that we've had by taking Israeli advice. Israel's policies of dealing with "terrorists" have simply brought them what they have right now - the constant fear and tension of maintaining and enforcing a prison. Maybe we can get a clue from Israel's "failure to win" and not repeat their mistakes. Also, it's ironic how America thinks we can play some sort of mediator in any Israel-* peace when we've got our own issues. It's a long time coming, but our benevolent neutrality's starting to wear really thin.

British Muslims and Muslim leaders are very worked up about British foreign policy. We're lucky, as Americans, that our Muslim communities aren't as disenfranchised as theirs are, yet unlucky since, in a way, we're cowed by assimilation. Our only established outlet of disapproval slips directly into the American socialist Left, which is not what Muslims are. It's a voiceless outrage, another thing Americans outsource to other countries.

The Pakistan connection to Laskhar-e-Taiba's dawa (charity) parent organization's being made in the press, both our press and Pakistan's press. I think the Rashid Rauf connection (British Pakistani, brother of an arrested alleged bomber, Tayib) - arrested in Lahore, from the eastern Bahawalpur region - to Al Qaeda is being made through the charity work that the Jamaat ud-Dawa's been doing in the wake of the Kashmiri earthquakes. I think it's resonable, but a noticeable amount of stretch. More on this later.

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The Bank of England freezes the accounts of 19 of the 24 caught suspects of the air bombiing plot and publishes their names.

Name DOB Age
PATEL, Abdul Muneem 4/17/1989 17
KHATIB, Osman Adam 12/7/1986 20
HUSSAIN, Nabeel 3/10/1984 22
KHAN, Assan Abdullah 10/24/1984 22
RAUF, Tayib 4/26/1984 22
ZAMAN, Waheed 5/27/1984 22
TARIQ, Amin Asmin 6/7/1983 23
ALI, Cossor 12/4/1982 24
SADDIQUE, Muhammed Usman 4/23/1982 24
HUSSAIN, Tanvir 2/21/1981 25
HUSSAIN, Umair 10/9/1981 25
KHAN, Waheed Arafat 5/18/1981 25
ALI, Abdula Ahmed 10/10/1980 26
SARWAR, Assad 5/24/1980 26
SAVANT, Ibrahim 12/19/1980 26
ALI, Shazad Khuram 6/11/1979 27
ISLAM, Umar 4/23/1978 28
KAYANI, Waseem 4/28/1977 29
UDDIN, Shamin Mohammed 11/22/1970 36

Here're their locations in Google Earth:

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Statement coming from his Eminence al-Sayyid al-Sistani (May Allah perserve him) regarding Massacre Ghana

In the name of Allah, the Most Merciful , the Most Compassionate,

In a series of persistent assaults on noble Lebanon, the military forces of the Israeli enemy have commited today a fresh massacre in the wounded town of Qana Its victims were tens of innocents in such a spectacle, how disgusting and horrible it was !

verily words are insufficient to denounce this loathsome crime, a sin which was brought on by those who have totally stripped themselves of any humanitarian principles and morals so even women and children in refuge shelters are not safe from them.

Verily the size of the disasters that have occurred in Lebanon , as the result of the continuance of Israeli aggression, has reached a limit which , any further patience is not imaginable nor is standing by with hands withheld , in front of it. So the international community must undertake compelling an immediate cease-fire and putting an end to this horrific tragedy. The Muslim world and the rest of the nations, who love peace will not pardon those sides who are trying to inhibit such an undertaking. Such inhibtion will lead to disastrous consequences in the region, in its entirety.

The Office of al-Sayyid al-Sistani

Rajab 4, 1427

That's July 30, 2006. As we all know, since we've studied our Bibles, Qana, Lebanon (33.2080556, 35.3002778) is where Jesus turned water to wine, 2006 years ago. Israeli's updated that by turning more than 60 civilians into blood.

Sistani's our great hope in Iraq. With Iraqi PM Maliki being shunned by our congress due to his statements on Israel and Lebanon, we're rapidly running out of allies on the ground.

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Hazard definitions, particularly "Pyrophoric" means a chemical that will ignite spontaneously in air at a temperature of 130 deg. F (54.4 deg. C) or below and Organic peroxides, which undergo autoaccelerating thermal decomposition, are excluded from any of the flashpoint determination methods specified above. Oh, and of course, triacetone triperoxide (TATP). It's really too bad I didn't pay enough attention in orgo or pchem.

Precedent includes the 1994 bombing of a Manila - Tokyo flight planned by Ramzi Yousef (in custody here in Florence's supermax) that used nitroglycerine hidden in a contact lens solution bottle, stabilized with cotton balls, and set off with a Casio wrist watch - it ripped through a Boeing 747, killing a Japanese passenger and forcing the plane to make an emergency landing. It was a "dry run" for a plan to be executed on to be repeated on 11 American commercial jetliners, with the timing devices synchronized to go off as the planes reached mid-ocean and would have killed an estimated that 4,000 passengers had the plot been successful. [source, Patterns of Global Terrorism, 2000, Bust and Boom, Washington Post, Dec 30, 2001] The image on the right is a snap from Ramzi Yousef's Manila apartment (cnn)

Detecting explosive liquids requires bombarding the target with neutrons and looking for a nitrogen presence. Neutrons means nuculars and particularly "gamma rays." Let the Hulk jokes begin. Poop, someone's already on it: Patent for Multi-sensor explosive detection system.

Al Qaeda? I don't think so. It's more likely that it's copy-cat or ex-AQ-influenced British of Pakistani extraction taking off on OBL's declaration of war on the US that occured this month, 1996.

More, as it develops.

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So, I'm at the new Edwards Cigar Shoppe, buying cigars for Jack's new child, Sloopers, and there're three guys sitting in their leather loungy chairs chatting. One of them gets up to help me and shows me around the 3rd largest humidor in Colorado (they've expanded since they moved). Nice guy, helpful, informative, gets me "It's a Boy!" stickers for the sticks.

While I'm being rung up, I'm talking with him about my car, his car, the new shoppe, etc, I overhear the other two guys talking - one guy, really. He's explaining to the other guy how Muslims are all about streaming into Europe to take advantage of their social welfare all the while setting up mosques to enforce how the locals should behave and that this behavior's been going on since the Ottoman Empire. Who're they to say what anyone should do? Additionally, how's a superior culture supposed to treat these Muslims? It's not really our fault if we have better weapons and whatnot - if they can't defend themselves in Lebanon or Iraq, they lose, just like the American Indians.

Further, with something he read in the NRO that said that Israel or the US doesn't really have "winning" as a goal in mind, he posited: What'd be wrong with that anyway? We should want to "win" and these oppressive, ignorant Muslims, such as the Palestinians, who just want to impose their rules and take advantage of our wealth should eat it.

I took my cigars and left. Yeah, a few times I wanted to engage and did turn around once or twice at places where counterpoints would've made him think (such as his truncated history - the Crusades; historicity being a much more present thing in middle eastern minds; the situation of the Palestinians not nearly being "won" or "winning," Israel's deliberate apartheid culture), but I stopped myself.

I had a transaction to complete, and it just isn't polite to interrupt a guy's ramblings. I figured, I'm brown enough - my body language should be sufficient for the guy to get a clue, lower his voice, or whatever. Or not. I thought, briefly, maybe I could engage, sit down, smoke one of the hour-longs I bought and have some sort of conversation with them. I wanted to know how many Muslims he knew, how many Republican-voting Muslims he knew - I'm guessing a whopping 0 & 0. But what'd've done? My transaction was over.

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