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March 2005 - Posts

Condoleeza Rice has been making a tour of the Pakistan / Afghanistan region. Yes, she's been elsewhere, with a lot more public fanfare, so why pick this out? Well, things are pretty subdued right now over thataway, elections being over in Iraq and intentions for political compromises between the Shi'i and Kurds appearing with regards to the Sunnis and a newly approved F-16 sale to Pakistan. If we, for some reason, are continuing to appease Pakistan with military hardware, Musharraf's more likely to make a strong statement (read: feint for us) to his people doing a little chest-beating showing how the Americans are actually helping strengthen Pakistan while a few of our boys (CTF Thunder, CTF Longhorn) poke around the uncontrolled territories. This will be worth keeping an eye on.

India's being "angered" over the F-16 sale appears, to me, to be simply 'appropriate diplomatic response' and face saving. India's huge, they're a military might in the subcontinent and have no real reason to fear Pakistan charging over the borders with some Green Angels in formation. Pout your feet, yaar.
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Europa - Constitution
Continuing on my European Constitution watch... EU in Tactical Retreat to Save French Referendum, ABC News

Is France planning on saying "no" to the EU Constitution on May 29th?

Poor Jacques Chirac. European Commissioner buddies "have rushed to the rescue of President Jacques Chirac on Wednesday in a bid to save a knife-edge French referendum on the EU constitution by retreating on a disputed bill to open up the services sector" because apparently the idea of opening cross-border competition to local services, "from plumbers to architects" is making the "no" camp all a-twitter. Seems as if the "minority" that are planning on voting "no" also take issue with Turkey's eventual membership into the EU.

This should be a good one to watch. Even better is that one poll calls the "no" voters a "minority" and two others in Le Figaro show the that the majority (52%) would say "no" to the constitutional referrendum. [ "Poll: France Likely to Nix EU Constitution," SFGate 03/20/2005] Further deliciousness is that 52% of those polled didn't even think they were going to bother to vote. My prediction, less than 60% turnout in France. Sixty percent would be a respectable voting number in any democracy, though.

"The EU does not have a Plan B," noted Polish Prime Minister Marek Belka of the damage that a French "no" to the constitution would cause.
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Socialist Swedish Prime Minister Goran Persson said: "We don't want to have a new underclass emerging in the labor market. We don't want to have workers coming to Sweden and living 10-15 together in a garage or in a small apartment." ... like what happens similarly here in America.

Meanwhile, Ireland's set up a website to explain the European Constitution, in order to avoid the European ennui, er, referrenda, that's sweeping the continent.
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craigslist.org post and cycletrader.com post

2003 Yamaha YZF-R6

"Someone buy me, I rule! Vroom."
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Continuing on my sinking dollar theme...

Bill Gates is doing it. In addition to Gates, there was an article in this weekend's Wall Street Journal, "Betting Against the Dollar (If You Dare)," by Craig Karmin (article, at this time, is only available for wsj.com premium subscribers) which described some of the risks involved in the currency market and pointed to one firm, EverBank, that was allowing individuals to open USD$2,500 min savings accounts and USD$10,000 min CDs in foreign currencies with a 0.7% fee. Seems a bit steep and I bet there're others out there. Made me tangentially think about the wording/tone of the article's headline (was it trying to dissuade people?) and why only one company was mentioned (kickbacks?). Also, there're two mutual funds (introduced last month) from ProFund Advisors - the Rising U.S. Dollar ProFund (RDPIX) and the Falling U.S. Dollar ProFund (FDPIX).

I'm still a bit worried about the prospect of OPEC tagging oil prices to the Euro instead of the Dollar, since that'll indicate the decline of the Dollar. Economists say that if the Dollar declines in this manner, it'll eventually make US goods cheap enough for export. We don't manufacture anything here anymore though. Turn your Wal-Mart purchase upside down / inside out and look for the origin of manufacture label for proof of that. When the Dollar becomes cheap enough for an export market, will we return to economic prominence or will that road be marked by an influx of cheap labor from Mexico and leave fat Americans crying for more social services and protection from the government?
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Tonight, The World Cafe is having Keane on live, and is going to have Moby, Ivy, and Brazilian Girls, all after Fresh Air's interview with religous writer and ex-nun Karen Armstrong (author of the excellent Buddah, Islam: A Short History, etc.).  A great night to stay in and listen to the radio.

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ROTTERDAM, Netherlands (Reuters) - A Dutch businessman accused of complicity in war crimes and genocide for selling chemicals to Iraq knew Saddam Hussein would use them for poison gas attacks, prosecutors said on Friday. [link]
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Ian's crafting a post on the chemical weapon bombing of Halabja, Iraq by the Iraqi government during the Iran-Iraq War on and about this day in 1988 which killed thousands.  Halabja had just been captured by the PUK (Kurd group) with the coordination of the Iranian military.  What I want to know is what was the UN's reaction and how many Hail Mary's will the ICC dole out for various governments alleged complicities? I'm looking forward to reading Ian's post.

“ ... either the atrocity at Halabja was carried out by the Iraqi military against their enemies - with a set of chemical warfare agents that they had a record of use prior to Halabja, and with a proven reputation for using chemical weapons in large amounts against civilians (the mustard gas attacks on Majnun island in September 1984 are estimated to have killed 40,000 people) - or by the Iranians, against their own allies and soldiers in an attack using chemicals that there's no evidence that they ever have had.“ - Glen Rangwala, 2002, from http://www.casi.org.uk/discuss/2002/msg00034.html

In the mean time, here's an excerpt from our side discussion on it:

[11:10] Me: ah, the problems with conflicts we don't want to get involved with.
[11:10] Me: i love that now, the UN refuses to get involved in conflicts we want to be in, a la Sudan / genocide.
[11:10] Ian: we being US we?
[11:10] Me: yes.
[11:11] Me: we being the US.
[11:11] Ian: yeah Darfour seems to have dropped off all radar screens
[11:11] Me: i wonder what the UN was doing wrt the iran-iraq war?
[11:11] Me: probably, looking the other way.
[11:11] Ian: but seems to me more because there are no vested interests there by any major parties, hence no sponsorship other than pure PR
[11:11] Me: strange
[11:12] Ian Hogan: how strange?
[11:12] Me: that's the UN's vested interest, anti-genocide, yet... where is it?
[11:12] Ian: the UN is like the PTA
[11:12] Me: very much so.
[11:12] Me: all waggling fingers and horn-rimmed glasses, calling for more speedbumps
[11:12] Ian: if no vocal parents are bitching about something, no reason to address it
[11:13] Me: unless it's the stupid football coach who's got kids in school, who's also bitching, aka the US
[11:13] Ian: right, like, Iraq wasn't supported cause more countries had a vested interest in the status quo than supporting the US

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Numi Smoky Tarry Lapsang Souchong Tea
don't do it.

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Actually, not so much the actual “moving” part but the part where asshole landlords decide what's “reasonable” with regards to showing the place.  I don't like people coming and looking at my belongings.  I don't care if they own the place, it's still my private, personal stuff you're pawing through and that's not in the lease.  Not to mention, you smell, and you scare Abby.

As I looked at the kitchen sink last night, cleaning it, I realized that the freedom and ephemerality I gained/justified from not having a place of my own no longer holds any weight for me.  Being beholden to people I don't respect is something I just can't tolerate anymore and it's really eased a lot of my future worries.

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Why shouldn't our dear fearless leader have a podcast?  I mean, he's got a weekly radio address (each under 5 minutes).  Is he against mp3s, and by proxy does that mean we are against mp3s? I dunno, but I thought I should e-mail him and ask.  As I was doing so, I found the proper place to ask technical questions and was really disappointed that I didn't have reason to e-mail him.  Like, what's he got to do that's better than checking out radio/index.html from cvs and editing it?  I bet he'd leave it checked out and blame Cheney. Oh well, nurd humar averted.

After a bit of manipulation, I decided to test out an RSS feed for the administration.  They'll come up with one eventually, they're the government.

president's radio address podcast

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It's March 11, and it's time to talk about Terrorism & Democracy.


Abbas: they're both essential parts of the world.

Amanda: when I think of terrorism I think of small(er) subversive, dangerous groups that have no respect for life and use the most base and deplorable methods they can conceive to express their hated of a group of people. Democracy brings to mind a peaceful and organized way to govern a nation or region where there is respect for life and respect for individual opinion even if tempered by a smaller group of educated and responsible representatives of the individuals. terrorism- nasty killers; democracy-populcae with a choice

Dan: democracy is cool and terrorism is for suckers

Ian: Terrorocracy! Terrorism is any act of war by a non-governmental organization, like the Shriners with their fucking clown cars. While deplorable and everything, its not like it hasn't been going on for thousands of years now, so lets all stop crying about it.
Democracy is what we called in MBS "consensus building". Consensus building was important to keep rank-and-file worker bees feeling like they'd "contributed to the process" and "their opinions were heard and valued", while in reality, all important decisions got made by the slightly smarter people who owned the company. It was an important means to diminish dissent. Without democracy, people tend to express their existential emptiness by blowing shit up, whereas with democracy, people bitch to their therapists and whine on their blogs.

Jack: Letting terrorists vote with bombs is not democracy, you fucking socialists.

Me: Democracy means, in part, achieving a society where disaffected people protest or dissent via drum circles in mouse costumes. It's a tough struggle, since there's a lot of convincing that has to go on to show all interested parties that they're voices are being taken into account and action is taken directly because of their contribution.  Mouse Bloc with guns means the disenfrancised aren't being paid for their art.  Letting dissent get out of pocket is a failure of vigilance and dedication to the cause of democracy.  I think one of the major issues is getting people to realize that absolute rule by committee means that no ones objectives will be achieved.

Will: democracy-works great if the goal is to represent the ppl and their interests as a "whole" society from a governing perspective. i.e. - what will enable and propell us succesfully to the next level of civilization. yet when special interests start interjecting confusion, they start to overwhlem, confuse and side-track the representation. imo we aren't living in a democracy, a state where loud voices and monetary interests skew the goal of governing a democracy
terrorism-highly effective means of striking to the core of ppl's psyche, fear. why wouldn't some ppl resort to terrorism if they aren't feeling like they are being heard/respected. if you keep pushing me in line at the bank and i ask you to stop, yet you keep pushing me i'm gonna standup for myself by screaming at you and then pummeling you. this is in a sense terrorism as we now choose to define it. it's fight or flight. now some may not agree with my desire to not be pushed but that's what i feel and i am the only one who represents myself as a person in that situation. how would you feel as a society that basically has no representation. i don't agree with terrorism as a whole, but i do understand a globally under-represented ppl who might not have the benefit of my view of civilization that i was afforded as a white kid born in the US.

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Seems like the Club de Madrid's getting around.  Here, in the States, when people die we commit hate crimes and then send our military out for justice.  Europe likes to talk.  This dialectic is a good and necessary distinction.

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"This force-feeding of American wealth to the rest of the world is now proceeding at the rate of $1.8bn daily."

Mr Buffett said in the last 10 years foreign powers and their citizens had accrued about $3 trillion worth of US debt and assets such as equities and real estate. At current rates, he predicted that in another 10 years' time the net ownership of the US by outsiders would amount to $11 trillion.

"This annual royalty paid [to] the world would undoubtedly produce significant political unrest in the US. Americans ... would chafe at the idea of perpetually paying tribute to their creditors and owners abroad. A country that is now aspiring to an 'ownership society' will not find happiness in - and I'll use hyperbole here for emphasis - a 'sharecropper's society'."

[link]

Thanks, Ian. What'll it take for Americans to start buying back America or are we operating on the premise that if everyone has a stake in our ownership society, they'll be less likely to want to tear us apart? We've supposedly got a booming economy, even though the interest rates are going up and OPEC wants to peg oil prices to the Euro, yet we're sharecroppers to the currency speculators out there. Hate the game, player.
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"And although it seems unlikely that Bono will get the job, on Sunday, Treasury Secretary John Snow said that he has not ruled out the idea of the singer being added to the list of potential candidates for the leadership of the World Bank.

According to an Associated Press report, Snow said, "I am not going to review here all the candidates that are on the list. But I will attest to my admiration for Bono. He does a lot of good in this world of economic development. Most people know him as a rock star — he's in a way a rock star of the development world, too. He understands the give-and-take of development. He's a very pragmatic, effective and idealistic person." "

[link]

"uno, dos, tres QATARZEEEEH" - Bono, counting money in the World Bank vaults. I have vertigo. I'm well intentioned, I donated to tsunami victims, make me the head of the World Bank. Seriously people, get a grip.
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Ian e-mailed today from a cybercafe in Stavanger, Norway forcing me to look up the word "piste" because he was snowboarding down a cliff face. Also, something about hot girls. It's devastating to my sacules.
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